Years of Failed Arctic Sea Ice Predictions

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Over the past few decades, geographers, oceanographers, geophysicists, glaciologists, climatologists, geoengineers, and Al Gore –ha– have shown great interest in Arctic Ocean sea ice extent.

Many of these experts envisaged an ice-free Arctic Ocean.

Needless to say, each and every one of these forecasts has been proven hopelessly wrong, yet most of the scientists behind them have retained their positions and credibility within their respective fields.

This is an indication of how deep the narrative runs.

‘Scientists in the US have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of Arctic sea ice,’ reported the BBC back in 2007. ‘Their latest modelling indicates that northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years.’

Professor Wieslaw Maslowski from the Department of Oceanography of the US Navy predicted an ice-free Arctic Ocean by the summer of 2013.

Maslowski added that his prediction was on the conservative side, too: “Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007. So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”

The BBC boasted that Maslowski used ‘supercomputers to crunch through possible future outcomes.’

The broadcaster also used the below image in their article, I assume in an attempt to evoke an emotional response:

Also back in 2007, we had NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally’s prediction: “The Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”

Zwally was quoted in many publications at the time: “The Arctic is often cited as the canary in the coal mine for climate warming. Now as a sign of climate warming, the canary has died. It is time to start getting out of the coal mines,” he said.

In 2008, University of Manitoba professor David Barber prophesied: “We’re actually projecting this year that the North Pole may be free of ice for the first time [in history]. This is a very dramatic change in the High Arctic climate system.”

British AGW rag The Independent ran the ‘Exclusive’ story: ‘It seems unthinkable, but for the first time in human history, ice is on course to disappear entirely from the North Pole this year,’ reads the opening paragraph, which is all you get to see unless you pay… which I didn’t.

In reality, the 2008 summer minimum turned out to have more ice than in 2007.

In 2010, Mark Sereezer, the newly appointed senior scientist at the US government’s Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) in Boulder, Colo. was famously quoted as saying: “the Arctic is screaming.”

Geographer Serreze, who now holds the job as NSIDC director, warned that global warming will render the Arctic ice free by the summer of 2030 — a claim picked up by the likes of the telegraph.co.uk, but one that shows no indications of materializing.

Below was the state of Arctic Sea Ice volume during the 2020 minimum.

Data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) reveal levels were within the average range:

[DMI].

In 2012, head of the Polar Ocean Physics Group at the University of Cambridge (UK), Professor Peter Wadhams, foretold of a complete collapse of the Arctic ice sheet by 2015-2016 — predictably leapt on by theguardian.com.

‘As sea ice shrinks to record lows, Prof Peter Wadhams warns a ‘global disaster’ is now unfolding in northern latitudes,’ reads the article’s subheading.

‘One of the world’s leading ice experts has predicted the final collapse of Arctic sea ice in summer months within four years,’ continued the piece. ‘In what he calls a “global disaster” now unfolding in northern latitudes as the sea area that freezes and melts each year shrinks to its lowest extent ever recorded, Prof Peter Wadhams of Cambridge University calls for “urgent” consideration of new ideas to reduce global temperatures: “Climate change is no longer something we can aim to do something about in a few decades time, and we must not only urgently reduce CO2 emissions but must urgently examine other ways of slowing global warming, such as the various geoengineering ideas that have been put forward.”‘

Once again though, real-world observations ended-up leaving a modern climate researcher with egg on their face, because far from reaching the forecast record lows, the year 2016 actually saw the quickest Arctic refreeze ever recorded, with the sea ice extent advancing 405,000 m2 (1.05 million km2) in just three weeks.

The DMI actually noted that that rate of refreezing was the fastest since its daily records began in 1987.

That contradicting reality didn’t stop Professor Wadhams cashing in on his scaremongering, however. His book “A Farewell To Ice,” in which he again repeated the assertion that the polar region would ice-free within just a few years, was published in 2016 to the predictably-blind critical acclaim of AGW propaganda rags such as The Guardian.

There are hundreds-more dire Sea Ice predictions that have either expired or are soon to expire, but the mainstream media is yet to offer a single retraction; in fact, many of the failures are still up online, for all to see.

Let us not forget that overstuffed doormat of a man Al Gore in all this:

This is the danger when politics, and the funding it brings, drives science, instead of the age-old standards of ideas, logic, testing, and real-world observations.

The above list of fails is a sad indictment of modern science, yet the researches involved have all retained their positions and credibility — how? Because Global Warming is a powerful political tool. It will prop you up and support you if you follow the rules, but it will tear you down the minute you dare to question it.

AGW is being used as propaganda to enforce literally whatever those string-pulling elites deem fit.

And unfortunately, the masses are too distracted, far too busy slaving away at 9-5’s (in order to keep their heads above water–ironically), to stop and observe these now decades-worth of scientific discrepancies.

The catastrophe is always “X” amount of years away, and when that “X”-date does uneventfully come and go, the doomsday deadline quietly gets pushed on, to scam the next generation.

AOC says we now have 10 years left to avert the end of the world.

I wonder what new power-hungry know-nothing know-it-all politician we’ll be hearing from in 2031, when AOC’s prediction also uneventfully passes us by. Although by then, a far more likely climatic reality will be upon us: global cooling, as decades of low solar activity would by then of had a cumulative impact on terrestrial temperatures:

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.

Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

Original post at electroverse.net

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