A Novel Look at Global Hurricane Data Reveals No Trend

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Experienced data analyst, 10-year Wall Street veteran, and self-proclaimed “Mrs. Smarty Pants”, Zoe Phin of phzoe.com takes a look at the alarmists’ claim that “increasing CO2 emissions are leading to more frequent and intense hurricanes”.

Phin has already dealt with this re Atlantic hurricanes (linked here), and she found no trend.

Today, she analyzes the global data.

It is definitely true that the number of detected hurricanes has increased, writes Phin on her blog.

This is due to better sensing technology.

But aside from detection, there is also a matter of how one counts the frequency of hurricanes.

Does it make sense to count a 6-hour Category 3 storm the same as a 42-hour Category 3 storm?

“Storm 1” and “Storm 2” are bot classified as Category 3, but the Cat3 status is unequal in time.

No! It’s doesn’t make sense. Such a thing would be misleading. But that is exactly what climate alarmists do.

A better thing to do, continues Phin, would be to count the hours spent in certain wind speed categories.

And this is exactly what she did.

So, below are the results from the best hurricane data in the world.

[Note, 10yr CMA means 10-Year Centered Moving Average]

Category 1 is cyclic/no-trend:

Category 2 had increased, but dropped during the past 25 years:

Category 3 had increased, but dropped during the past 25 years; while Category 4 is cyclic/no-trend:

And Category 5 has actually DECREASED:

Featured below is the combined data for category 1,2,3,4,5 hurricanes.

Overall, it reveals no trend — just natural, cyclic motions:

Zoe Phin’s results will come as no surprise to those privy to the actual data, rather than just the bleats of the IPCC and their propagandizing MSM lapdogs — and a host of other leading scientists have reached the same conclusions: that is, that hurricanes have not been getting stronger or more frequent.

For example, here’s Klotzbach et al (2018):

And here’s NOAA’s Dr. Ryan Maue, who cites Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. re global cyclone activity since 1970:

The alarmists’ claim is that greenhouse gases create more energy for hurricanes, writes Phin.

Well, she asks, where exactly is all that extra energy for hurricanes?

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.

Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift

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